Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 28 · v5

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

This alert expired on 14 September 2026 at 19:47 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 29 recorded within 20 km of this point since 1 April 2026 — one other scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 14 at 1:37PM MDT until September 14 at 1:45PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO

Urban PEI: 18,006 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)28 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.81/1
Coordinates37.6850, -107.7790
Nearest CityDurango (46 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)18.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-14T19:37:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.0c3e88e8db4bdb28cc8a7ed00813c4c157ab6688.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-14T19:37:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-14T19:40:20.594Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescArchuleta, CO; La Plata, CO; Montrose, CO; Ouray, CO; San Miguel, CO
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued September 14 at 1:37PM MDT until September 14 at 1:45PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO
Expires2026-09-14T13:47:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Grand Junction CO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0c3e88e8db4bdb28cc8a7ed00813c4c157ab6688.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.09e95c04efa1cf8cb3cdc4d8b17a9d49812c0047.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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